S12023-08-18· 218 cards
The First Chapter
Verdict
Hold.
No sealed product for The First Chapter currently trades below its expected card value. Collectors are paying a premium over the math. Wait for prices to drop or chase singles instead.
Sealed products
| Product | Packs | Price | EV | ROI | Buy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Disney Lorcana: The First Chapter Booster Pack booster_pack | 1 | $9.25 | $4.62 | -50.0% | Buy ↗ |
Disney Lorcana: The First Chapter Sleeved Booster Pack sleeved_booster_pack | 1 | $12.20 | $4.00 | -67.2% | Buy ↗ |
Disney Lorcana: The First Chapter Booster Box Case booster_case | 96 | $1325.82 | $430.42 | -67.5% | Buy ↗ |
Disney Lorcana: The First Chapter Booster Box booster_box | 24 | $336.82 | $106.34 | -68.4% | Buy ↗ |
Disney Lorcana: The First Chapter Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 3] booster_pack | 1 | $28.70 | $4.57 | -84.1% | Buy ↗ |
Disney Lorcana: The First Chapter Illumineer's Trove trove | 8 | $266.00 | $34.09 | -87.2% | Buy ↗ |
Disney Lorcana: The First Chapter Sleeved Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 3] sleeved_booster_pack | 1 | $37.70 | $4.07 | -89.2% | Buy ↗ |
Disney Lorcana: The First Chapter Starter Blister Bundle other | — | $75.34 | — | — | Buy ↗ |
Disney Lorcana: The First Chapter Starter Deck (Amber & Amethyst) starter_deck | — | $19.23 | — | — | Buy ↗ |
Disney Lorcana: The First Chapter Starter Deck Display starter_display | — | $189.13 | — | — | Buy ↗ |
Disney Lorcana: The First Chapter Starter Deck (Emerald & Ruby) starter_deck | — | $18.47 | — | — | Buy ↗ |
Disney Lorcana: The First Chapter Starter Deck (Sapphire & Steel) starter_deck | — | $18.44 | — | — | Buy ↗ |
Disney Lorcana: Collector Set Bundle other | — | $71.11 | — | — | Buy ↗ |
Disney Lorcana: The First Chapter Starter Deck [Set of 3] starter_deck | — | $67.06 | — | — | Buy ↗ |
Mickey Mouse - Brave Little Tailor Puzzle Insert (Bottom Left) other | — | $0.05 | — | — | Buy ↗ |
Mickey Mouse - Brave Little Tailor Puzzle Insert (Bottom Right) other | — | $0.06 | — | — | Buy ↗ |
Mickey Mouse - Brave Little Tailor Puzzle Insert (Set of 4) other | — | $0.20 | — | — | Buy ↗ |
Mickey Mouse - Brave Little Tailor Puzzle Insert (Top Left) other | — | $0.05 | — | — | Buy ↗ |
Mickey Mouse - Brave Little Tailor Puzzle Insert (Top Right) other | — | $0.08 | — | — | Buy ↗ |
Disney Lorcana: The First Chapter Gift Set gift_set | — | $78.58 | — | — | Buy ↗ |
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Top chase cards
The moonshots — what gets the hype
Elsa - Spirit of Winter (Enchanted)
Enchanted · Holofoil · #207/204
$758.55
Stitch - Carefree Surfer (Enchanted)
Enchanted · Holofoil · #206/204
$206.12
Belle - Strange but Special (Enchanted)
Enchanted · Holofoil · #214/204
$180.70
Mickey Mouse - Wayward Sorcerer (Enchanted)
Enchanted · Holofoil · #208/204
$177.82
Tinker Bell - Giant Fairy (Enchanted)
Enchanted · Holofoil · #216/204
$174.68
Aurora - Dreaming Guardian (Enchanted)
Enchanted · Holofoil · #213/204
$145.00
Top value drivers
Ranked by expected $ contribution to a 24-pack booster box
Elsa - Spirit of Winter (Enchanted)
Enchanted · Holofoil · #207/204
1 in 48 boxes · $15.78 box EV
$758.55
Rapunzel - Gifted with Healing
Legendary · #18/204
1 in 2.3 boxes · $7.26 box EV
$16.98
Stitch - Carefree Surfer (Enchanted)
Enchanted · Holofoil · #206/204
1 in 48 boxes · $4.29 box EV
$206.12
Hades - Infernal Schemer
Legendary · #147/204
1 in 2.3 boxes · $4.00 box EV
$9.36
Belle - Strange but Special (Enchanted)
Enchanted · Holofoil · #214/204
1 in 48 boxes · $3.76 box EV
$180.70
Mickey Mouse - Wayward Sorcerer (Enchanted)
Enchanted · Holofoil · #208/204
1 in 48 boxes · $3.70 box EV
$177.82
Tinker Bell - Giant Fairy (Enchanted)
Enchanted · Holofoil · #216/204
1 in 48 boxes · $3.63 box EV
$174.68
Aurora - Dreaming Guardian (Enchanted)
Enchanted · Holofoil · #213/204
1 in 48 boxes · $3.02 box EV
$145.00
Simba - Returned King (Enchanted)
Enchanted · Holofoil · #215/204
1 in 48 boxes · $2.74 box EV
$131.54
Mickey Mouse - Brave Little Tailor
Legendary · #115/204
1 in 2.3 boxes · $2.37 box EV
$5.54
Mickey Mouse - Artful Rogue (Enchanted)
Enchanted · Holofoil · #210/204
1 in 48 boxes · $2.30 box EV
$110.45
Stitch - Carefree Surfer
Legendary · #21/204
1 in 2.3 boxes · $2.17 box EV
$5.07
EV is a 10,000-iteration Monte Carlo simulation — the *average* outcome across many packs. Your individual pack will vary widely; most packs return $1–3 with rare high-value pulls swinging the mean. Prices via JustTCG, updated periodically.